
A
sudden change in the going conditions is probably one of the main
causes of bad bets. You have to be aware of any preference your
selection has for underfoot conditions. A few horses can act on
virtually any going. Most however cannot and the majority of flat
horses possibly prefer good or good/firm going.
If a wet spell strikes and the ground goes soft we must look for
horses that prefer softer going if need be ignoring the form book.
In National Hunt racing the majority of horses probably prefer
softer going. However, at certain times when the ground dries out
you must watch for horses that relish the good to firm conditions.
Some horses only perform well at one particular track and rarely, if
ever, win anywhere else. There are many different reasons for this.
The horses style of running being one. A long striding galloping
animal, for example, will not like tight turning tracks such as
Chester but should like
Doncaster.
Most papers that have a racing section highlight winners over a
course by a (C) after the horse name, (CD) denotes a winner over
both course and distance. This is something that is well worth
making a study of as it can obviously be an invaluable guide to
possible winners.
Fitness is obviously difficult to asses but there are certain
factors you can take into account that could point you in the right
direction, for instance as a general guide don't back horses that
haven't run for over 50 days as they may have been injured or sick,
however on the other hand you must watch out for horses that always
run well first time out or after a break when fresh.
You must also make a note of those that always take two or three
runs before they put in a good performance. Watch for
trainers who seem adept at getting their charges fit to run for
their life no matter how long they have been off the course but on
the other hand also note whose horses always need a few runs.
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Betting Tips Part 3